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	<title>Alligator Investor &#187; 2007 &#187; February &#187; 12</title>
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		<title>Alligator Investor &#187; 2007 &#187; February &#187; 12</title>
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		<title>Is it really a sign of a top when closed-end funds trade at a premium?</title>
		<link>http://alligatorinvestor.wordpress.com/2007/02/12/is-it-really-a-sign-of-a-top-when-closed-end-funds-trade-at-a-premium/</link>
		<comments>http://alligatorinvestor.wordpress.com/2007/02/12/is-it-really-a-sign-of-a-top-when-closed-end-funds-trade-at-a-premium/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Feb 2007 19:48:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alligator Investor</dc:creator>
		
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		<description><![CDATA[There was an article on Seeking Alpha this morning entitled &#8220;Sign of a Market Top? Closed-End Funds Trading at Premium to Net Asset Value&#8220;.  The article states this is &#8220;a phenomenon almost without precedent&#8221; and quotes Barron&#8217;s columnist Randall Forsyth as saying this is happening for the &#8220;first time in my memory&#8221;.  But [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=alligatorinvestor.wordpress.com&blog=449835&post=129&subd=alligatorinvestor&ref=&feed=1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><p>There was an article on Seeking Alpha this morning entitled &#8220;<a href="http://etf.seekingalpha.com/article/26730">Sign of a Market Top? Closed-End Funds Trading at Premium to Net Asset Value</a>&#8220;.  The article states this is &#8220;a phenomenon almost without precedent&#8221; and quotes Barron&#8217;s columnist Randall Forsyth as saying this is happening for the &#8220;first time in my memory&#8221;.  But as this <a href="http://tal.marketgauge.com/dvMGPro/charts/charts.asp?chart=NAVDIS">chart</a> from MarketGauge by DataView LLC indicates, there have been two incidences of this phenomenon since 1998. The closed-end funds traded at a premium for a good part of 2001, halfway through the bear market; and closed-end funds also traded at a premium for most of 2004.  The S&amp;P 500 index went on to gain more than 250 points from the end of 2004 to the end of 2006. Based on the data available, I don&#8217;t think this is a sign of a top. On the contrary, the limited data available in this chart suggests that the opposite may be true.  The closed-end funds were selling at the largest discount to net asset value right at the market top in 2000.</p>
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		<slash:comments>3</slash:comments>
	
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		<title>Comments</title>
		<link>http://alligatorinvestor.wordpress.com/2007/02/12/comments/</link>
		<comments>http://alligatorinvestor.wordpress.com/2007/02/12/comments/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Feb 2007 10:10:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alligator Investor</dc:creator>
		
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		<description><![CDATA[Comments are an important issue that every blogger has to deal with.  Since the beginning I have taken care to respond to every comment.  You would like to be able to have intelligent discussions with your readers, but it takes a lot of time to keep up.  There is a lot of [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=alligatorinvestor.wordpress.com&blog=449835&post=128&subd=alligatorinvestor&ref=&feed=1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class='snap_preview'><br /><p>Comments are an important issue that every blogger has to deal with.  Since the beginning I have taken care to respond to every comment.  You would like to be able to have intelligent discussions with your readers, but it takes a lot of time to keep up.  There is a lot of spam, and the vast majority of valid comments are silly.  They can even be insulting.  I tried to filter the results by requiring that commenters must be registered users of wordpress.com who are logged in, but that did not help. Here are excerpts from a comment left by &#8220;poppy8sd&#8221; to my recent post on Whole Foods Market:</p>
<p>It is the stuff of a confused unschooled mind . . . You could benefit from self-education . . . you don’t know what you’re talking about . . . what you’re saying is irrelevant.&#8221;</p>
<p>This kind of comment can be irritating if you feel you need to respond to it!  That one caused me to consider blocking all comments, but in the end I have decided to do the opposite.  I am opening up the comments again so anyone can participate.  However, I&#8217;m changing my policy about responding:  Comments can now be posted freely by anyone, but I will not  answer unless I find the topic interesting.</p>
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